房地产分析师预测，2015年，英国房价整体房价涨幅将超过伦敦，这将是该国整体房价六年来首次超过伦敦。

2015年，英国房价整体房价涨幅将超过伦敦，这将是该国整体房价六年来首次超过伦敦

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据英国经济和工商业研究中心（CEBR）预计，2015年，英国房价普遍上涨1.5%，而伦敦房价在经过数年的高增长后，将在今年下降3.6%，这将是自2009年以来全国平均房价上升幅度首次超过伦敦。

不过，伦敦房价下跌预计不会持续很长时间，2016年，伦敦房价将再度上扬2.7%，而全国平均房价上涨2.3%。

英国经济和工商业研究中心指出，伦敦市场受大选的不确定性尤为严重，但长远来看，潜在因素，如经济增长和住房供应短缺，将推动价格上涨。

该研究中心经济学家，以及这份预测报告的撰写人尼娜·思科罗（Nina Skero）指出：“在经过几个月的过热期，今年伦敦以外地区的房价前景已有所改善。受去年12月印花税调整，加上家庭收入上升提振，英国大部分地方房价有所提高。

“不过，我们预计，受到高端市场萎靡影响，伦敦房价价格将下降3.6%。豪宅税的开征，海外利益缩减，印花税税率上升，打压了高价房产需求。” 思科罗称。

2014年1月，经济和工商业研究中心曾预测英国今年房价将下跌0.6%，现已上调这一预测，原因是12月印花税改革增加了大多数购房者购买力，而且其市场效果早于预期。

2014年，房地产市场复苏，伦敦房价上涨了17.4%，而英国房产价普遍增加了10%。

2014年底，专家们开始纷纷指出，随着买家将目光瞄向其他地区，此轮房价上涨从伦敦蔓延其他地区，英国房地产市场也变得更加均衡。

UK-wide property to outperform London, analysts forecast

House price increases across the UK will outperform those in London in 2015 for the first time in six years, housing analysts predict.

The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) says it expects UK house prices generally to rise by 1.5% this year, while values in London fall by 3.6% following “years of over-performance”, the first time since 2009 that prices nationwide have risen faster than in the capital.

The predicted dip in London will not last for long, however, and by next year property values are expected to rise by 2.7% in the capital and 2.3% across the UK.

The CEBR said the London market tends to be particularly affected by the uncertainty of a general election, but that longer term, underlying factors such as economic growth and a lack of housing supply will push prices upwards.

Nina Skero, a CEBR economist and the author of the report, said: “Outside of London, the outlook for house prices this year has improved after a few months when the market appeared to be coming off the boil. December’s stamp duty changes, as well as rising household incomes, are lifting prices in many parts of the UK.

“In London, however, we expect prices to decline by 3.6%, driven by a significant weakening at the prime end of the market. A potential mansion tax, reduced overseas interest and hefty new stamp duty rates have hit demand for high value property.”

In January, the CEBR said that UK house prices would fall by 0.6% this year but it has revised up its prediction, saying changes to stamp duty in December, which made it cheaper for the most homebuyers liable to pay it, have been felt sooner than expected.

As the housing market recovered in 2014, house prices in London rose by 17.4%, while property values across the UK generally increased by 10%.

By the end of 2014, experts started to report a more evenly balanced housing market across the UK with price rises rippling out from London to other areas as buyers started to look elsewhere.