在英国，房屋供应不济推高了7月的英国房价和需求，作为传统的淡季，7月反而出现了自2007年以来最活跃的房产交易。

供应短缺推高英国房价 7月房市异常活跃

英国房地产服务公司LSL的月度报告显示，今年1-6月，英国每月房产销量均低于去年；但7月销量却出现逆袭，达到自2007年以来最强水平，平均房价再创年内新高。

另外，皇家特许测量师学会（RICS）一份月度调查则显示，英国7月的购买需求增速为去年2月以来最快，待售房产的平均数量却创下历史新低。

RICS的首席经济学家Simon Rubinsohn表示，调查人员已经发现房价在重新加速上涨，“更令人担忧的是，市场对供求失衡的怀疑会导致房价在未来12个月进一步上涨。

随着抵押贷款利率接近历史低点，今年的消费者信心高涨，预期工资也会上涨，大多数评论家都认为英国房价会继续上涨。

8月上旬，一份来自英国央行的区域代理报告警告称，房产供应的持续短缺正陷入恶性循环，因为潜在卖家看不到自己想买的房屋，反而不愿意把已有住宅投入市场。”

LSL旗下房地产代理公司Reeds Rains和Your Move的总裁Adrian Gill表示，英国房产供应量仍远低于经济危机爆发前水平。

今年第一季度，英国新房​​规划审批量达到了金融危机以来的最高水平，但这能否转化成房屋建设还有待观察。

根据LSL的月度报告，去年英国房价暴涨15.2％，上升幅度最大。但是，受较高的印花税和不断上升的英镑抛售压力影响，伦敦市中心房价增长却出现停滞。

然而，整体指数却显示英国房价上涨速度略有放缓。该指数显示，英国房价月度增长率为0.3％，年增长率（伦敦和英国东南部除外）为4％。相比其他指数，整体指数显示出更为“柔和”的房价上涨前景。该整体指数是以英国土地登记处的已完成销售量和其他指数的预测模型为基础制定而成。

Halifax房价调查数据则显示，英国6月房价年化增长率为8.6％。

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Property shortage leads to unusually busy July in housing market

A lack of homes for sale pushed up prices and demand in July, with the traditionally quiet summer month showing its strongest activity since before the financial crisis.

The monthly LSL Property Services/Acadata report found that compared with last year, this year saw lower sales volumes in every month up to June. But last month was the strongest July for sales volumes since 2007 and also led to average house prices reaching their seventh new peak this year.

A separate monthly survey from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors found that buyer demand in July rose at the fastest pace since last February. At the same time, the average number of properties for sale per surveyor fell to a record low.

Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at Rics, said surveyors were reporting renewed acceleration in house prices, and “more worrying still is the suspicion that the imbalance between supply and demand will lead to even stronger price gains over the next 12 months”.

With mortgage rates close to record lows, consumer confidence high and wages forecast to grow this year, most commentators expect prices to continue to rise this year.
A hoped-for post-election increase in the number of properties on the market has not materialised, raising fears of higher prices that could push home ownership further out of reach for many.

On Wednesday, a report from the Bank of England’s network of regional agents warned that the continuing shortage of properties for sale was becoming “self-perpetuating, as potential vendors were reluctant to put their homes on the market if they could not see properties they wanted to buy”.

Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents, both owned by LSL, said volumes were still substantially below levels seen before the crash.

In the first quarter of the year, planning approvals for new homes reached their highest level since the financial crisis, but it remains to be seen if this translates into housebuilding.

According to the Acadata report, house prices in Reading have seen the steepest rise over the past year, up 15.2 per cent, while central London has stalled, with higher stamp duty and rising sterling damping interest.

However, the overall index — which is based on completed sales from the Land Registry combined with a forecasting model based on other indices — suggests that the pace of rises has slowed slightly, and paints a more muted picture than other indices.
It puts the monthly increase at 0.3 per cent, with the annual rate of change excluding London and the south-east, at 4 per cent.

The Halifax house price survey, by contrast, put the pace of annual increases in June at 8.6 per cent.