土耳其房地产受国际房产投资人关注已超过10年,据统计每年有大约2.5万套房产出售给外国人。
[caption id="attachment_139344" align="aligncenter" width="500"] 土耳其房地产市场的外商投资将翻一番[/caption]尽管这听起来是一个非常庞大的数字,但是土耳其每年大约建造70万套房产,其中仅有3.5%销售给国外买家。然而,随着近两年投资者热忱增长,行业专家人士预测国外房产买卖可能会增长到每年6万笔的销量。
高纬环球(Cushman & Wakefield )土耳其分部的哈鲁克‧苏尔(Haluk Sur)指出:“土耳其要达到这个数量并没有任何阻碍。然而,在实现这一目标的路上土耳其必须走得很小心。销售部门需要重点将房产出售给购房给家族或自住用的国外买家,而不是那些想要大量收购从而制造房价大波动的潜在买家。”
人们的担心也在与日俱增,恐怕土耳其会重蹈英国的覆辙,投资导致房价膨胀,甚至本土市场中想要购买他们主要居所的买家都难以负担。
苏尔补充道:“土耳其需要制定坚定的政策,来吸引外国买家购房用作来为旅游时数周或数月的备用居所,而不是购买很多房产仅用作后期出售或出租。”
相同的事情在2008年土耳其和迪拜都曾发生,当时阿联酋因为大规模的海外投资导致房市的暴跌暴涨。
“2008年迪拜出现的房地产业暴涨局面,直到现在仍然在试图使投资环境正常化。收购应当在不同的价格区间和更广阔的地理范围内展开。一旦这样的情况形成,土耳其将成为最具吸引力的海外投资市场,”他补充道。伊斯坦布尔是土耳其房市中最受投资者欢迎的城市,尤其是办公和酒店类房产,投资者们在寻求更长久的价值。
苏尔表示:“太集中于伊斯坦布尔房市并不正确,应当创造其他具有吸引力的投资热地。其实国内其他一些城市也在迅速发展,如西北部的布尔萨(Bursa),地中海沿岸的安塔利亚(Antalya),爱琴海(Aegean)沿岸伊兹密尔(Izmir)等等。另外,像东南部的加济安泰普(Gaziantep)或安纳托利亚中部(Central Anatolia)的开塞利(Kayseri)这些城市,都具有巨大的增长潜力。随着建设基础设施项目的需求和就业机会增加,更多的人会选择住在这些城市。”
在经济方面,过去两年间土耳其保持了相对稳定的状态,2016年国内生产总值预计实现4%的增长,创造了较好的投资趋势。然而,伊斯坦布尔的投资回报率并不能够与其他房价增长缓慢的地区相比,因为这些地区为投资者们提供了更高利润率的投资机遇。
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Foreign Investment in Turkey's Property Market set to Double
Turkish real estate has been popular with international property investors for more than 10 years, recording around 25,000 sales to foreigners annually.
Despite sounding like a very healthy figure, Turkey builds around 700,000 properties each year with just 3.5% of sales going to foreign investors. However, rising investor sentiment over the last two years has led to industry professionals predicting a potential increase in foreign property purchases to 60,000 annually.
Haluk Sur of Cushman & Wakefield Turkey said: "There are no obstacles to Turkey reaching this volume. The country must however, act very carefully on the road to achieving this goal. The sector needs to focus on selling properties to foreigners who will use them with their families or for themselves, rather than potential buyers who make huge volumes of acquisitions in order to create big price fluctuations in the market".
Concerns are mounting that Turkey may follow the same path as the UK where investment has inflated house prices to an extent that homes have become less affordable in the domestic market for those wishing to buy their principal residence.
Sur added: "Turkey needs to develop solid policies to lure foreign buyers who want to use their potential homes in Turkey for several weeks or months rather than others who buy many properties just to sell on later or rent out."
Parallels are also being drawn between Turkey and Dubai in 2008, when the Emirate experienced a boom/bust in its housing market as a result of huge levels of foreign investment.
"Dubai faced this boom effect in the housing sector in 2008 and is still trying to normalise conditions. Acquisitions should spread to a wider geographical location at different price scales. When such a market is created, Turkey will be a very attractive market for foreigners," he added. Istanbul has received most investor attention among Turkey's property markets, particularly in the offices and hotels sectors although buyers are being urged to look further afield for value.
Mr Sur said: "It is not right to concentrate on Istanbul too much for the sector.Other centres of attraction must be created. Actually some cities elsewhere in the country have been developing rapidly such as Bursa in the northwest, Antalya on the Mediterranean, Izmir on the Aegean, etc. There are other centres that have huge growth potential including Gaziantep in the southeast or Kayseri in Central Anatolia. With the required infrastructure projects and employment opportunities, more people will opt to live in these cities".
Economically, Turkey has achieved relative stability in the last 2 years and annual GDP expansion of 4% is expected in 2016, creating a nice dynamic for investment. However, investment returns in Istanbul are unlikely to rival those found elsewhere in Turkey where prices are set to experience more gradual growth, presenting better margin opportunities for investors.
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