根据泰国房地产公司在第四季度《曼谷房地产时报》调查报告中指出,曼谷住宅地产的购买和投资焦点已从商业中心区转移。
曼谷CBD公寓推出单位数量
曼谷CBD公寓价格指数
报告中指出从2014年开始,曼谷住宅市场形势欠佳,当地政治动荡导致大部分开发商均推迟他们的发展项目。直至下半年,在市场推出的住房项目数量才显得积极,第三季度共有大约1830个新住宅单位推出。
曼谷政局不稳已致使投资者和个人买家对购买公寓的地理位置考虑得更加周全。相反,这也意味着开发商更乐意在中心城区之外的地方发展房地产项目。
在2014年,泰国政府批准开通更大规模的公共交通路线,带动CBD之外地区的住房需求。而且公寓的面积也缩减成单卧室公寓,让中产阶级买家购买得起而大受欢迎。
2014年曼谷外环地区的公寓均价稳步上涨,戴德梁行房地产顾问公司(DTZ)预测2015年近郊公寓均价还会保持上涨势头。
根据戴德梁行的统计,2014年第四季度有8个新公寓开发项目,合共1733个公寓单位在曼谷推出。预料2015年内当地的住房需求会逐步向非中心城区转移。尽管如此,投资者对地理位置优越和配备优良的高品质住宅项目仍有相当浓厚的兴趣,开发商继续能够在预售阶段卖出所有住宅单位。
曼谷的豪华公寓销售额有望在2015年内因强大的海外需求而上涨到200亿泰铢。曼谷的公寓价格在东南亚地区仍然相对较低,所以依然吸引到投资者的兴趣,预计海外投资者将占曼谷公寓项目销售的20%。
戴德梁行指出,大多数海外买家来自中国香港和新加坡,中国和日本买家同时也占据曼谷公寓销售的大比例。欧洲买家逐渐减少,来自英国、德国的买家合共少于10%。
CBD转售公寓有望在2015年稳健增长,第四季公寓环比价格上涨3%,全年上涨大约5%。戴德梁行指出,部分原因是由于2014年初缺少交易活动,而且转售公寓是对许多买家一个相对实惠的购房选择。
2015年曼谷的地价有望持续上涨,但上涨速度减弱,涨幅大约介乎5%-10%。这将反过来持续推高公寓的均价。
房地产公司总结,曼谷住房市场基本上会继续为国内和海外买家创造有利条件,期望在中长期内保持稳健的发展前景。
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The focus of residential property buying and investing activity in Bangkok is shifting away from the central business district, according to real estate firm that noted the trend in its Q4 Bangkok Property Times research report.
It noted how the residential sector began 2014 poorly, with political unrest causing most developers to delay their launches. It was not until H2 that the number of launches hit a more positive note with approximately 1,830 new units launched in quarter three.
The changing political landscape in Bangkok has made investors and individuals think more strategically about where they buy condominiums. In turn, this has meant that developers are keener to launch projects outside of downtown areas, it noted.
In 2014, the Thai government approved more mass transit lines and this has helped to move demand to areas outside of the CBD. The sizes of units also continued to decrease with one-bedroom condos, which are more affordable for the middle class buyers, proving popular.
The average price for condominiums in fringe locations increased steadily throughout the year and this is set to continue into 2015, DTZ predicted, as demand continues to shift location.
There were eight new condominium projects launched in Q4 2014 with a total of 1,733 units according to DTZ. During 2015, it is expected that demand will continue to shift to less central locations. Notwithstanding this, demand for top quality projects with superb locations and superior specifications remain of interest and developers continue to be able to sell 100 percent of their development prior to launching.
Luxury condominium sales in Bangkok are expected to grow by THB20 billion during 2015, in large because of foreign demand. Condominiums in Bangkok continue to interest foreign buyers, as they are still relatively cheap on a regional basis, and it is estimated that foreigners account for approximately 20 percent of project sales in Bangkok.
A large proportion of foreign buyers originate from Hong Kong and Singapore, DTZ reported, but China and Japan also account for a large percentage of condominium sales. The trend for less European buyers continues with buyers from Britain and Germany both amounting to less than 10 percent combined.
Resales for CBD condominiums are expected to increase healthily in 2015, with prices increasing to 3 percent quarter-on-quarter in the fourth quarter, and almost 5 percent for the year. This was in part because of the lack of activity earlier in the year and resale condominiums proving a more affordable option for a lot of buyers, DTZ noted.
Land prices in 2015 in Bangkok are expected to continue to rise but at an abated pace of approximately between 5 percent and 10 percent. This will in turn continue to increase average condominium average prices.
The fundamentals of the residential market in Bangkok continue to make this an interesting sector for both national and foreign buyers and in light of this; we expect this sector to maintain its resilient outlook in the medium to long term, the agency concluded.
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